TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jerald Carroll and Pepijn Bastiaansen in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jerald Carroll' if Jerald Carroll advances against Pepijn Bastiaansen. This market will resolve to 'Pepijn Bastiaansen' if Pepijn Bastiaansen advances against Jerald Carroll. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jerald Carroll and Pepijn Bastiaansen in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jerald Carroll' if Jerald Carroll advances against Pepijn Bastiaansen. This market will resolve to 'Pepijn Bastiaansen' if Pepijn Bastiaansen advances against Jerald Carroll. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome, and the price of those shares reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people buy shares in Jerald Carroll, the price will increase, indicating a higher perceived chance of him winning. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the fight draws nearer.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jerald Carroll vs Pepijn Bastiaansen fight, as declared by the relevant sanctioning body. Any official decision, including a knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification, will determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders should ensure they understand the official rules of the fight to fully grasp the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt adjustments in this market, as traders attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical or mental condition, or analysis from reputable boxing experts, could lead to significant movements in the odds on Polymarket.