TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Anthrop and Theo Papamalamis in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against Theo Papamalamis. This market will resolve to 'Theo Papamalamis' if Theo Papamalamis advances against Jack Anthrop. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Anthrop and Theo Papamalamis in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against Theo Papamalamis. This market will resolve to 'Theo Papamalamis' if Theo Papamalamis advances against Jack Anthrop. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how public perception differs from professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders possess information not yet incorporated into traditional betting lines, or simply have a different assessment of the probabilities involved. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading volume occurs.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, creating a constantly evolving forecast for the Jack Anthrop vs Theo Papamalamis match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jack Anthrop vs Theo Papamalamis match. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed using publicly available information. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of any potential factors that could influence the final determination of the match's winner.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, any public statements from the athletes themselves, or from analysts offering predictions, could influence trading activity. A significant surge in trading volume, driven by a particular piece of news, is often a strong indicator that the market is reacting to new information.