TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Anthrop and Eli Stephenson in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against Eli Stephenson. This market will resolve to 'Eli Stephenson' if Eli Stephenson advances against Jack Anthrop. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Anthrop and Eli Stephenson in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against Eli Stephenson. This market will resolve to 'Eli Stephenson' if Eli Stephenson advances against Jack Anthrop. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal interesting insights into public perception and potential value. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Often, discrepancies arise due to differing information or biases. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook lines, it may suggest that traders possess information not yet fully incorporated into traditional odds, or that they have a different assessment of the probabilities involved. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jack Anthrop vs Eli Stephenson match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Jack Anthrop or Eli Stephenson would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Updates on their training regimens, recent performance data, or changes in coaching strategies could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and experts, as well as any public statements made by the athletes themselves, could contribute to price movements. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or any controversies surrounding the event, could also play a role in shaping the market.