TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Darian King and Matthew Michibata in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darian King' if Darian King advances against Matthew Michibata. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Michibata' if Matthew Michibata advances against Darian King. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Darian King and Matthew Michibata in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darian King' if Darian King advances against Matthew Michibata. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Michibata' if Matthew Michibata advances against Darian King. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic process ensures that the market price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates the market's expectation of the likely result of the King vs Michibata match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Darian King versus Matthew Michibata match, as reported by the governing tennis organization. The platform will then verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injury status, or changes in their coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role, potentially favoring one player's style of play over the other. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could also contribute to price movements, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Major upsets in other related tournaments might also indirectly affect this market.