TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 12:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Darian King and Erik Arutiunian in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darian King' if Darian King advances against Erik Arutiunian. This market will resolve to 'Erik Arutiunian' if Erik Arutiunian advances against Darian King. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Darian King and Erik Arutiunian in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darian King' if Darian King advances against Erik Arutiunian. This market will resolve to 'Erik Arutiunian' if Erik Arutiunian advances against Darian King. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s odds are driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one player, but this market shows a more even distribution, it could indicate disagreement with the sportsbook’s assessment. However, as the event nears, the odds on both sides tend to converge as new information becomes available and more traders participate.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Darian King vs Erik Arutiunian match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also affect perceptions of player form. Furthermore, major weather forecasts for Lexington, KY, could impact expectations, especially if conditions are expected to favor one player’s style of play. Increased trading volume driven by new information or prominent analysts’ predictions could also cause substantial price movements in this market.