TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Kliebhan and Alejandro Moreno in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Kliebhan' if Daniel Kliebhan advances against Alejandro Moreno. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moreno' if Alejandro Moreno advances against Daniel Kliebhan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Kliebhan and Alejandro Moreno in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Kliebhan' if Daniel Kliebhan advances against Alejandro Moreno. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moreno' if Alejandro Moreno advances against Daniel Kliebhan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately assess the likelihood of each outcome, as profitable trades depend on correct predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Daniel Kliebhan vs Alejandro Moreno match as declared by the governing body of the competition. Any disputes or ambiguities regarding the official result will be addressed using commonly accepted sources for verifying sports outcomes. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as weather forecasts or venue changes, might also play a role. Furthermore, public opinion, expert analysis, and even large individual trades on Polymarket can create momentum and cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.