TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 2:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Victor Bini and Mateus Napoli da Silveira in the M15 João Pessoa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victor Bini' if Victor Bini advances against Mateus Napoli da Silveira. This market will resolve to 'Mateus Napoli da Silveira' if Mateus Napoli da Silveira advances against Victor Bini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Victor Bini and Mateus Napoli da Silveira in the M15 João Pessoa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victor Bini' if Victor Bini advances against Mateus Napoli da Silveira. This market will resolve to 'Mateus Napoli da Silveira' if Mateus Napoli da Silveira advances against Victor Bini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each player winning. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, and the current prices represent the collective forecast of all traders participating in the market. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the João Pessoa tennis match between Victor Bini and Mateus Napoli da Silveira. Once the official results are available, Polymarket will determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, large trades by influential traders on Polymarket can create short-term price movements, as can significant shifts in public opinion as reflected in other sources of information. Monitoring these signals can help understand potential shifts in the market.