TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Garay and Bastian Malla in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Garay' if Valentin Garay advances against Bastian Malla. This market will resolve to 'Bastian Malla' if Bastian Malla advances against Valentin Garay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Garay and Bastian Malla in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Garay' if Valentin Garay advances against Bastian Malla. This market will resolve to 'Bastian Malla' if Bastian Malla advances against Valentin Garay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome in the Garay vs Malla match, they can drive the price on Polymarket to reflect their assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ form and potential. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Garay vs Malla match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Any disputes or ambiguities will be addressed using publicly available information to ensure a fair and accurate determination of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled and payouts will be distributed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Garay vs Malla match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as a change in venue or format, could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could drive price movements, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.