TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Farjat and Joao Victor Couto Loureiro in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Farjat' if Tomas Farjat advances against Joao Victor Couto Loureiro. This market will resolve to 'Joao Victor Couto Loureiro' if Joao Victor Couto Loureiro advances against Tomas Farjat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Farjat and Joao Victor Couto Loureiro in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Farjat' if Tomas Farjat advances against Joao Victor Couto Loureiro. This market will resolve to 'Joao Victor Couto Loureiro' if Joao Victor Couto Loureiro advances against Tomas Farjat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit regardless of the outcome, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each player winning. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the players' chances or potentially highlight information not yet fully priced into the sportsbook odds. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the João Pessoa tennis match. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a particular player winning, and this price can fluctuate significantly based on new information or changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the João Pessoa tennis match between Tomas Farjat and Joao Victor Couto Loureiro. The winning player, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be the basis for determining the outcome of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event could also influence perceptions of each player's form. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering predictions about the match could sway the market. Changes in overall betting trends or even a surge in trading volume on Polymarket could also indicate a shift in expectations and cause the market to move.