TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Jose Gutierrez and Victor Pagotto in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Jose Gutierrez' if Oscar Jose Gutierrez advances against Victor Pagotto. This market will resolve to 'Victor Pagotto' if Victor Pagotto advances against Oscar Jose Gutierrez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Jose Gutierrez and Victor Pagotto in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Jose Gutierrez' if Oscar Jose Gutierrez advances against Victor Pagotto. This market will resolve to 'Victor Pagotto' if Victor Pagotto advances against Oscar Jose Gutierrez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likely outcome. It’s common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available and more traders participate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of traders regarding the Gutierrez vs Pagotto match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 João Pessoa match between Oscar Jose Gutierrez and Victor Pagotto. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Oscar Jose Gutierrez or Victor Pagotto could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as venue changes or weather impacts, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed bettors or shifts in public sentiment could drive price movements in this market.