TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 3:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Jose Gutierrez and Fermin Tenti in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Jose Gutierrez' if Oscar Jose Gutierrez advances against Fermin Tenti. This market will resolve to 'Fermin Tenti' if Fermin Tenti advances against Oscar Jose Gutierrez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Jose Gutierrez and Fermin Tenti in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Jose Gutierrez' if Oscar Jose Gutierrez advances against Fermin Tenti. This market will resolve to 'Fermin Tenti' if Fermin Tenti advances against Oscar Jose Gutierrez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, which may be influenced by factors like public perception or house bias. This market, however, is driven by individuals who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or vice versa. It’s important to compare these odds to get a comprehensive view of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Oscar Jose Gutierrez and Fermin Tenti, as declared by the relevant governing body. The market will determine which fighter is officially recognized as the winner, and that will be the basis for payout. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will settle.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely have a significant impact. Changes in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s conditions, such as a change in venue or weight class, might also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning has the potential to move this market before Nov 6, 2026.