TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaue Noatto and Andre Souza in the M15 João Pessoa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaue Noatto' if Kaue Noatto advances against Andre Souza. This market will resolve to 'Andre Souza' if Andre Souza advances against Kaue Noatto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaue Noatto and Andre Souza in the M15 João Pessoa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaue Noatto' if Kaue Noatto advances against Andre Souza. This market will resolve to 'Andre Souza' if Andre Souza advances against Kaue Noatto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or risk management. This market, driven by individual predictions, can sometimes identify discrepancies or undervalued probabilities compared to those offered by sportsbooks. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the perceived likelihood of different outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kaue Noatto vs Andre Souza match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kaue Noatto vs Andre Souza match, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, may also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity on Polymarket itself can drive price movements, as traders react to each other's actions and new information becomes available. Unexpected developments leading up to the match are likely to create volatility.