TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 2:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Monzon and Rocco Valente in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Monzon' if Ignacio Monzon advances against Rocco Valente. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Valente' if Rocco Valente advances against Ignacio Monzon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Monzon and Rocco Valente in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Monzon' if Ignacio Monzon advances against Rocco Valente. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Valente' if Rocco Valente advances against Ignacio Monzon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction market odds shift more rapidly than sportsbook odds, particularly as new information becomes available closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. This differs from fixed-odds betting, allowing for more nuanced expression of belief.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Monzon vs Valente match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause significant movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of either fighter’s chances of winning has the potential to impact the market.