TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 1:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fermin Tenti and Nicolas Zanellato in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fermin Tenti' if Fermin Tenti advances against Nicolas Zanellato. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Zanellato' if Nicolas Zanellato advances against Fermin Tenti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fermin Tenti and Nicolas Zanellato in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fermin Tenti' if Fermin Tenti advances against Nicolas Zanellato. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Zanellato' if Nicolas Zanellato advances against Fermin Tenti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; if more people believe Fermin Tenti will win, the price of shares representing his victory will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available to traders.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the João Pessoa tennis match between Fermin Tenti and Nicolas Zanellato. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event could also impact the perceived strength of each player. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the players and the tournament will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.