TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 7:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Souza and Pedro Sakamoto in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Souza' if Andre Souza advances against Pedro Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Sakamoto' if Pedro Sakamoto advances against Andre Souza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Souza and Pedro Sakamoto in the M15 João Pessoa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Souza' if Andre Souza advances against Pedro Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Sakamoto' if Pedro Sakamoto advances against Andre Souza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time sentiment and information from a wide range of participants. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or biases. Examining these differences can be valuable for identifying potentially undervalued or overvalued outcomes, though it's important to remember that both sources have their strengths and limitations when forecasting the result of the Andre Souza vs Pedro Sakamoto match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, with traders setting the odds based on their own research and analysis of the Andre Souza vs Pedro Sakamoto match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 João Pessoa match between Andre Souza and Pedro Sakamoto, as reported by the governing tennis body. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also trigger shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants or shifts in broader public opinion could contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their predictions for the Andre Souza vs Pedro Sakamoto match.