TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 3:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vignesh Gogineni and Cezar Gabriel Papoe in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vignesh Gogineni' if Vignesh Gogineni advances against Cezar Gabriel Papoe. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Gabriel Papoe' if Cezar Gabriel Papoe advances against Vignesh Gogineni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vignesh Gogineni and Cezar Gabriel Papoe in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vignesh Gogineni' if Vignesh Gogineni advances against Cezar Gabriel Papoe. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Gabriel Papoe' if Cezar Gabriel Papoe advances against Vignesh Gogineni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregate wisdom of crowd predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' form. If significant differences exist, it may suggest that the crowd perceives an advantage or disadvantage not fully captured by sportsbook lines, or vice versa. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable part of your overall research.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own assessments of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the M15 Ithaca tennis match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winning player will determine the outcome of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected results in earlier matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, head-to-head records, or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements, reflecting a change in overall market perception of the players' chances of winning.