TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Fernandes and Jack Anthrop in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Fernandes' if Rodrigo Fernandes advances against Jack Anthrop. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against Rodrigo Fernandes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Fernandes and Jack Anthrop in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Fernandes' if Rodrigo Fernandes advances against Jack Anthrop. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against Rodrigo Fernandes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of individuals betting with their own capital. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and shifts in sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fernandes vs Anthrop match, as reported by the governing body or official sources for the sport. The market will then determine which outcome—a win for Fernandes or a win for Anthrop—was correctly predicted by the highest-priced shares at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Rodrigo Fernandes or Jack Anthrop, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Updates on their recent performance, training regimes, or strategic changes could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each competitor’s chances of winning could move this market.