TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oren Vasser and Maxime St-Hilaire in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oren Vasser' if Oren Vasser advances against Maxime St-Hilaire. This market will resolve to 'Maxime St-Hilaire' if Maxime St-Hilaire advances against Oren Vasser. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oren Vasser and Maxime St-Hilaire in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oren Vasser' if Oren Vasser advances against Maxime St-Hilaire. This market will resolve to 'Maxime St-Hilaire' if Maxime St-Hilaire advances against Oren Vasser. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price movements indicate how traders are interpreting available information about the fighters and their chances of winning the M15 Ithaca fight.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Ithaca fight between Oren Vasser and Maxime St-Hilaire, as declared by the relevant sporting authorities. The market will determine which fighter is officially declared the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be used to settle the market and distribute payouts accordingly. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the fight.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Oren Vasser or Maxime St-Hilaire would likely cause substantial price movement. Updates on their training regimens, weight class status, or any reported changes in their physical condition could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any analysis from reputable fight analysts or changes in public perception regarding their chances of winning could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements related to the fight’s venue or scheduling could also introduce volatility into this market.