TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 7:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Djosic and Connor Plunkett in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Djosic' if Nikola Djosic advances against Connor Plunkett. This market will resolve to 'Connor Plunkett' if Connor Plunkett advances against Nikola Djosic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Djosic and Connor Plunkett in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Djosic' if Nikola Djosic advances against Connor Plunkett. This market will resolve to 'Connor Plunkett' if Connor Plunkett advances against Nikola Djosic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, leading to odds that may more accurately represent the true probability of an outcome. It is common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can offer insights into market sentiment and potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly and significantly the price responds to new information or shifts in sentiment. This dynamic pricing allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Djosic vs Plunkett match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered in the resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates and announcements regarding the match and its final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or any significant updates about the players’ form could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader public sentiment can contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.