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$154.3b

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410,833

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4,363

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M15 Ithaca: Nicolas Arseneault vs Rodrigo Fernandes
polymarket

What is the result of Nicolas Arseneault vs Rodrigo Fernandes?

Volume:
$213

M15 Ithaca: Nicolas Arseneault vs Rodrigo Fernandes

 - Polymarket

M15 Ithaca: Nicolas Arseneault vs Rodrigo Fernandes - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 2:51 PM EST

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M15 Ithaca: Nicolas Arseneault vs Rodrigo Fernandes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M15 Ithaca: Nicolas Arseneault vs Rodrigo Fernandes Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M15 Ithaca: Nicolas Arseneault vs Rodrigo Fernandes Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 3

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Arseneault and Rodrigo Fernandes in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Arseneault' if Nicolas Arseneault advances against Rodrigo Fernandes. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Fernandes' if Rodrigo Fernandes advances against Nicolas Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Arseneault and Rodrigo Fernandes in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Arseneault' if Nicolas Arseneault advances against Rodrigo Fernandes. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Fernandes' if Rodrigo Fernandes advances against Nicolas Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Arseneault vs Fernandes match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $213 and the total volume is $213. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of each player winning the match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals’ willingness to buy or sell based on their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders incorporate information more rapidly than sportsbooks.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nicolas Arseneault vs Rodrigo Fernandes match, as reported by the governing body for this competition. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result.

Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly move the market, reflecting new information or a change in overall perception of the likely winner of the Arseneault vs Fernandes match.