TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 7:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nathan Gold and Zac Hamill in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nathan Gold' if Nathan Gold advances against Zac Hamill. This market will resolve to 'Zac Hamill' if Zac Hamill advances against Nathan Gold. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nathan Gold and Zac Hamill in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nathan Gold' if Nathan Gold advances against Zac Hamill. This market will resolve to 'Zac Hamill' if Zac Hamill advances against Nathan Gold. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on the collective actions of traders, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system based on the latest information.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nathan Gold vs Zac Hamill match, as reported by the governing body or official sources for this competition. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding the health or form of Nathan Gold or Zac Hamill would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, unexpected injuries, or even weather conditions (if the match is outdoors) could all shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about training schedules, pre-match interviews, or expert analysis could also contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each competitor's chances of winning has the potential to move this market.