TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 5:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joshua Peck and Rafael Ymer in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joshua Peck' if Joshua Peck advances against Rafael Ymer. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Ymer' if Rafael Ymer advances against Joshua Peck. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joshua Peck and Rafael Ymer in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joshua Peck' if Joshua Peck advances against Rafael Ymer. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Ymer' if Rafael Ymer advances against Joshua Peck. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by real-money bets. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms, such as subtle player news or shifts in public perception. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the estimated probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Joshua Peck vs Rafael Ymer match, as reported by a trusted source for tennis results. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result of the match. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair and accurate settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, driven by social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. A major upset in another related tournament could also impact trader confidence in either player. Unexpected announcements related to player form or strategy could also lead to price movements in this market.