TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 1:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jonah Braswell and Milos Mikovic in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jonah Braswell' if Jonah Braswell advances against Milos Mikovic. This market will resolve to 'Milos Mikovic' if Milos Mikovic advances against Jonah Braswell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jonah Braswell and Milos Mikovic in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jonah Braswell' if Jonah Braswell advances against Milos Mikovic. This market will resolve to 'Milos Mikovic' if Milos Mikovic advances against Jonah Braswell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their books and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than traditional sportsbooks, as it’s driven by continuous trading activity.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand, meaning that the more traders believe in an outcome, the more expensive it becomes to bet on it. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Braswell vs Mikovic match, as reported by a recognized authority in the sport. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions affecting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also cause significant price movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could temporarily impact the price, though the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.