TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 2:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Secord and Benjamin Willwerth in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Secord' if Jack Secord advances against Benjamin Willwerth. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Willwerth' if Benjamin Willwerth advances against Jack Secord. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Secord and Benjamin Willwerth in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Secord' if Jack Secord advances against Benjamin Willwerth. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Willwerth' if Benjamin Willwerth advances against Jack Secord. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and the price is driven purely by supply and demand, representing the collective beliefs of participants. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. It’s worth comparing the implied probabilities to those offered by sportsbooks to identify potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds adjust based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jack Secord vs Benjamin Willwerth match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. Any disputes or ambiguities will be addressed using publicly available information to determine the definitive winner. The platform will then finalize the market, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of either athlete winning. Public commentary from analysts or experts, shifts in fan sentiment, or even unexpected weather conditions (if the match is outdoors) could also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price movements in this market.