TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Anthrop and Rafael Ymer in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against Rafael Ymer. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Ymer' if Rafael Ymer advances against Jack Anthrop. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Anthrop and Rafael Ymer in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against Rafael Ymer. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Ymer' if Rafael Ymer advances against Jack Anthrop. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets. If a significant difference emerges, it could indicate that market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Jack Anthrop vs Rafael Ymer match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the match's potential results. The current price indicates what the market believes is the fair probability of a particular player winning the Jack Anthrop vs Rafael Ymer match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jack Anthrop vs Rafael Ymer match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements in the Jack Anthrop vs Rafael Ymer match, reflecting a change in overall market opinion.