TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 4:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between FELIPE PINZON MORENO and Jack Anthrop in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'FELIPE PINZON MORENO' if FELIPE PINZON MORENO advances against Jack Anthrop. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against FELIPE PINZON MORENO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between FELIPE PINZON MORENO and Jack Anthrop in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'FELIPE PINZON MORENO' if FELIPE PINZON MORENO advances against Jack Anthrop. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against FELIPE PINZON MORENO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and profit margins, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, this market may move in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered on either side. This can provide insights beyond what traditional betting outlets offer, as it represents a collective forecast.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Pinzon vs Anthrop fight. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand; if many traders believe Pinzon will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, creating a real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pinzon vs Anthrop fight as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. The process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 28, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight's location or rules could also have an impact. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though this market is driven primarily by trader activity. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning has the potential to move the market significantly.