TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 3:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Muza and Carel Aubriel Ngounoue in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Muza' if Ethan Muza advances against Carel Aubriel Ngounoue. This market will resolve to 'Carel Aubriel Ngounoue' if Carel Aubriel Ngounoue advances against Ethan Muza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Muza and Carel Aubriel Ngounoue in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Muza' if Ethan Muza advances against Carel Aubriel Ngounoue. This market will resolve to 'Carel Aubriel Ngounoue' if Carel Aubriel Ngounoue advances against Ethan Muza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting growing confidence in their chances of winning. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic process ensures that the market price continuously adjusts to reflect the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ithaca tennis match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The player who wins the match will be declared the winner of this market. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a definitive outcome for all traders who participated in this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the Ithaca tennis match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed bettors could signal a change in sentiment and cause the odds to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.