TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 7:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Drew Van Orderlain and GREGORY Bernadsky in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Drew Van Orderlain' if Drew Van Orderlain advances against GREGORY Bernadsky. This market will resolve to 'GREGORY Bernadsky' if GREGORY Bernadsky advances against Drew Van Orderlain. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Drew Van Orderlain and GREGORY Bernadsky in the M15 Ithaca, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Drew Van Orderlain' if Drew Van Orderlain advances against GREGORY Bernadsky. This market will resolve to 'GREGORY Bernadsky' if GREGORY Bernadsky advances against Drew Van Orderlain. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, influencing the price. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the prediction market price may diverge. It’s common to see differences, especially before a lot of money has been traded on Polymarket.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome in the Van Orderlain vs. Bernadsky match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Van Orderlain vs. Bernadsky match, as determined by the governing body or official sources for this competition. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements regarding the match to stay informed about the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in strategy, or unexpected developments related to either Drew Van Orderlain or GREGORY Bernadsky could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about the match schedule, venue, or any controversies surrounding the competitors could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential market participants could create short-term volatility and impact the overall price of the shares.