TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 5:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alec Deckers and Felix Roussel in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alec Deckers' if Alec Deckers advances against Felix Roussel. This market will resolve to 'Felix Roussel' if Felix Roussel advances against Alec Deckers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alec Deckers and Felix Roussel in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alec Deckers' if Alec Deckers advances against Felix Roussel. This market will resolve to 'Felix Roussel' if Felix Roussel advances against Alec Deckers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to express their view, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sources, especially as new information emerges. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, particularly regarding factors not easily quantifiable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment surrounding the Ithaca M15 match. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share representing a specific outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Ithaca M15 match, determining which player ultimately wins. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the match. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in perspective, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be key to understanding potential catalysts for shifts in this market.