TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 7:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zura Tkemaladze and William Nolan in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zura Tkemaladze' if Zura Tkemaladze advances against William Nolan. This market will resolve to 'William Nolan' if William Nolan advances against Zura Tkemaladze. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zura Tkemaladze and William Nolan in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zura Tkemaladze' if Zura Tkemaladze advances against William Nolan. This market will resolve to 'William Nolan' if William Nolan advances against Zura Tkemaladze. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are determined by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or a strong consensus forming. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially shifting odds faster than sportsbooks. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Tkemaladze vs Nolan match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the Tkemaladze vs Nolan match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official tournament results and publicly available data to verify the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the official sources for the match results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and therefore the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the tournament could affect perceptions of player momentum and overall confidence. Monitoring tennis news sources and social media for updates on both players will be crucial for understanding potential market movements before Oct 27, 2026.