TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zura Tkemaladze and Odysseas Geladaris in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zura Tkemaladze' if Zura Tkemaladze advances against Odysseas Geladaris. This market will resolve to 'Odysseas Geladaris' if Odysseas Geladaris advances against Zura Tkemaladze. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zura Tkemaladze and Odysseas Geladaris in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zura Tkemaladze' if Zura Tkemaladze advances against Odysseas Geladaris. This market will resolve to 'Odysseas Geladaris' if Odysseas Geladaris advances against Zura Tkemaladze. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the market has identified information not yet fully incorporated by sportsbooks, or vice versa. It's a useful comparison for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and the lower the price of shares for other outcomes. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zura Tkemaladze vs Odysseas Geladaris match. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Zura Tkemaladze or Odysseas Geladaris could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment could drive price movements, reflecting changing expectations about the match outcome.