TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 9:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Younes Jenkins and Mateo Martinez in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Younes Jenkins' if Younes Jenkins advances against Mateo Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Martinez' if Mateo Martinez advances against Younes Jenkins. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Younes Jenkins and Mateo Martinez in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Younes Jenkins' if Younes Jenkins advances against Mateo Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Martinez' if Mateo Martinez advances against Younes Jenkins. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market for the Jenkins vs Martinez match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jenkins vs Martinez match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or fitness levels would likely cause significant movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions regarding the Jenkins vs Martinez match.