TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between William Nolan and Nikolaos Chatziavraam in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'William Nolan' if William Nolan advances against Nikolaos Chatziavraam. This market will resolve to 'Nikolaos Chatziavraam' if Nikolaos Chatziavraam advances against William Nolan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between William Nolan and Nikolaos Chatziavraam in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'William Nolan' if William Nolan advances against Nikolaos Chatziavraam. This market will resolve to 'Nikolaos Chatziavraam' if Nikolaos Chatziavraam advances against William Nolan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's probabilities. It’s often insightful to compare the implied probabilities from this market with those offered by major sportsbooks to identify potential value.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the William Nolan vs Nikolaos Chatziavraam match as reported by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome wins and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or changes in their rankings, might also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in expectations, causing the market to move. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential price movements.