TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between William Nolan and Alex Jones in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'William Nolan' if William Nolan advances against Alex Jones. This market will resolve to 'Alex Jones' if Alex Jones advances against William Nolan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between William Nolan and Alex Jones in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'William Nolan' if William Nolan advances against Alex Jones. This market will resolve to 'Alex Jones' if Alex Jones advances against William Nolan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant difference exists, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has more informed traders. It’s important to compare both to form your own informed opinion about the likelihood of each outcome in the Nolan vs Jones match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on Polymarket, and the market adjusts dynamically to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Nolan vs Jones match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the William Nolan vs Alex Jones match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of William Nolan or Alex Jones, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match location or rules could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket can quickly move the price, especially if they signal informed betting activity related to the Nolan vs Jones match.