TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vuk Krstajic and Kian Vakili in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vuk Krstajic' if Vuk Krstajic advances against Kian Vakili. This market will resolve to 'Kian Vakili' if Kian Vakili advances against Vuk Krstajic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vuk Krstajic and Kian Vakili in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vuk Krstajic' if Vuk Krstajic advances against Kian Vakili. This market will resolve to 'Kian Vakili' if Kian Vakili advances against Vuk Krstajic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Vuk Krstajic and Kian Vakili. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine which outcome resolves as correct. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule or court surface could also play a role. Furthermore, late-breaking analysis from tennis experts or significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts before Oct 25, 2026.