TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Holban and Joao Mendes in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Holban' if Vladimir Holban advances against Joao Mendes. This market will resolve to 'Joao Mendes' if Joao Mendes advances against Vladimir Holban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Holban and Joao Mendes in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Holban' if Vladimir Holban advances against Joao Mendes. This market will resolve to 'Joao Mendes' if Joao Mendes advances against Vladimir Holban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their victory. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price, indicating decreasing confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Vladimir Holban and Joao Mendes. The player who wins the match will be declared the winner of this market. Any potential delays or disputes will be addressed by Polymarket following standard procedures to ensure a fair and accurate resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to the match. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or even updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant betting activity observed in traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.