TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Holban and Fabio Luis Guth in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Holban' if Vladimir Holban advances against Fabio Luis Guth. This market will resolve to 'Fabio Luis Guth' if Fabio Luis Guth advances against Vladimir Holban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Holban and Fabio Luis Guth in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Holban' if Vladimir Holban advances against Fabio Luis Guth. This market will resolve to 'Fabio Luis Guth' if Fabio Luis Guth advances against Vladimir Holban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the fair probability of a particular result in the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Vladimir Holban vs Fabio Luis Guth match in Heraklion. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. This process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the Heraklion tournament might also shift expectations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed individuals or groups could create momentum and drive price changes. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market before it resolves.