TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Holban and Artis Agris Libergs in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Holban' if Vladimir Holban advances against Artis Agris Libergs. This market will resolve to 'Artis Agris Libergs' if Artis Agris Libergs advances against Vladimir Holban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Holban and Artis Agris Libergs in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Holban' if Vladimir Holban advances against Artis Agris Libergs. This market will resolve to 'Artis Agris Libergs' if Artis Agris Libergs advances against Vladimir Holban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand; if more people believe Vladimir Holban will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Vladimir Holban and Artis Agris Libergs. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results to determine which outcome settles as correct. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all traders involved.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts affecting the match schedule might also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential traders on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations, as others react to their actions. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities.