TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktor Kirov and Tim Vaisman in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Kirov' if Viktor Kirov advances against Tim Vaisman. This market will resolve to 'Tim Vaisman' if Tim Vaisman advances against Viktor Kirov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktor Kirov and Tim Vaisman in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Kirov' if Viktor Kirov advances against Tim Vaisman. This market will resolve to 'Tim Vaisman' if Tim Vaisman advances against Viktor Kirov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance their risk and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the Kirov vs Vaisman match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kirov vs Vaisman match, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to ensure they are aware of any potential delays or changes.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Public analysis from sports commentators and experts might also impact the market, as could significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.