TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktor Kirov and Jannik Soetebier in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Kirov' if Viktor Kirov advances against Jannik Soetebier. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Soetebier' if Jannik Soetebier advances against Viktor Kirov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktor Kirov and Jannik Soetebier in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Kirov' if Viktor Kirov advances against Jannik Soetebier. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Soetebier' if Jannik Soetebier advances against Viktor Kirov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, whereas this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets. However, it's important to remember that both types of odds represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Viktor Kirov and Jannik Soetebier. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any potential delays or changes to the event schedule.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match could significantly shift trader sentiment. Strong performances by either player in other recent matches, or even social media commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact the market. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, as could any official announcements regarding the match schedule or format. These events will all be reflected in the trading volume and price fluctuations.