TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 7:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktor Kirov and Jakub Filip in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Kirov' if Viktor Kirov advances against Jakub Filip. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Viktor Kirov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktor Kirov and Jakub Filip in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Kirov' if Viktor Kirov advances against Jakub Filip. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Viktor Kirov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information as it becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of probabilities than static sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand for these shares, and the platform facilitates this process by matching buyers and sellers.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kirov vs Filip match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact perceptions of their overall strength. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price movements, and even general shifts in public opinion regarding the likely winner could contribute to changes in the market.