TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Victor Kalaitzis and Daniel Rat in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victor Kalaitzis' if Victor Kalaitzis advances against Daniel Rat. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rat' if Daniel Rat advances against Victor Kalaitzis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Victor Kalaitzis and Daniel Rat in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victor Kalaitzis' if Victor Kalaitzis advances against Daniel Rat. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rat' if Daniel Rat advances against Victor Kalaitzis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kalaitzis vs Rat match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a forward-looking assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Victor Kalaitzis and Daniel Rat. The platform will verify the winner according to established tennis scoring rules and official tournament records. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, head-to-head records, or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also play a role. Significant betting activity from well-informed traders could also cause noticeable price movements, as others react to their perceived insights. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to impact the market.