TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 8:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Gonzalez-Galino and Giulio Perego in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Gonzalez-Galino' if Valentin Gonzalez-Galino advances against Giulio Perego. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Perego' if Giulio Perego advances against Valentin Gonzalez-Galino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Gonzalez-Galino and Giulio Perego in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Gonzalez-Galino' if Valentin Gonzalez-Galino advances against Giulio Perego. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Perego' if Giulio Perego advances against Valentin Gonzalez-Galino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion match between Valentin Gonzalez-Galino and Giulio Perego. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and verifiable sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Valentin Gonzalez-Galino or Giulio Perego could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the players’ chances of winning could drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.