TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 6:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tymur Bieldiugin and Jannik Soetebier in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tymur Bieldiugin' if Tymur Bieldiugin advances against Jannik Soetebier. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Soetebier' if Jannik Soetebier advances against Tymur Bieldiugin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tymur Bieldiugin and Jannik Soetebier in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tymur Bieldiugin' if Tymur Bieldiugin advances against Jannik Soetebier. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Soetebier' if Jannik Soetebier advances against Tymur Bieldiugin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome or differing levels of information available to each group. It's often useful to compare the implied probabilities to see where the discrepancies lie.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Tymur Bieldiugin and Jannik Soetebier, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The winning outcome in this market will correspond to the player who is officially recorded as the victor of the match. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also cause shifts in the odds. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to be reflected in the market price, leading to increased volume and potential price swings.