TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tymur Bieldiugin and Jan Smrcka in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tymur Bieldiugin' if Tymur Bieldiugin advances against Jan Smrcka. This market will resolve to 'Jan Smrcka' if Jan Smrcka advances against Tymur Bieldiugin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tymur Bieldiugin and Jan Smrcka in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tymur Bieldiugin' if Tymur Bieldiugin advances against Jan Smrcka. This market will resolve to 'Jan Smrcka' if Jan Smrcka advances against Tymur Bieldiugin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Heraklion tennis match. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. The market’s price is determined solely by trader activity and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined algorithms. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Tymur Bieldiugin and Jan Smrcka as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and the corresponding contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be finalized. The platform will then distribute payouts based on the final outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updates on player form could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in expectations regarding the Heraklion tennis match. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements.