TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tymur Bieldiugin and Dan Brand in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tymur Bieldiugin' if Tymur Bieldiugin advances against Dan Brand. This market will resolve to 'Dan Brand' if Dan Brand advances against Tymur Bieldiugin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tymur Bieldiugin and Dan Brand in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tymur Bieldiugin' if Tymur Bieldiugin advances against Dan Brand. This market will resolve to 'Dan Brand' if Dan Brand advances against Tymur Bieldiugin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. Comparing the odds can highlight where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, potentially revealing undervalued or overvalued opportunities. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Bieldiugin vs Brand match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic probability assessment. As more information becomes available or opinions shift, the price will adjust accordingly, offering a real-time gauge of expectations for this event.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tymur Bieldiugin versus Dan Brand match as reported by the governing body for this competition. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or tactical changes could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or referee assignments might also have an impact. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected by analysis from sports commentators or betting previews, could drive trading activity. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also influence trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can help understand potential market movements.