TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tyler Stice and Georgios Mitalas in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Stice' if Tyler Stice advances against Georgios Mitalas. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Mitalas' if Georgios Mitalas advances against Tyler Stice. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tyler Stice and Georgios Mitalas in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Stice' if Tyler Stice advances against Georgios Mitalas. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Mitalas' if Georgios Mitalas advances against Tyler Stice. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tyler Stice vs Georgios Mitalas match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will then verify the result, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or the availability of key personnel would also likely cause movement. Furthermore, broader trends in the competition or even general public opinion could play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.