TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$260,393,102

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,894,304,386

408,643

Markets across

39,771

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,493

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis
polymarket

What is the result of Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis?

Volume:
N/A

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis

 - Polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 5:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Set 1 Winner

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Set 2 Winner

50%
49%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Total Sets: O/U 2.5

50%
47%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Set 2 O/U 8.5

50%
47%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Set 2 O/U 9.5

50%
47%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Set 2 O/U 10.5

50%
47%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Match O/U 21.5

50%
48%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Match O/U 22.5

50%
48%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Match O/U 23.5

50%
48%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Set Handicap +/-1.5

50%
48%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Thomas Kostka vs Georgios Nouchakis Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Kostka and Georgios Nouchakis in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Kostka' if Thomas Kostka advances against Georgios Nouchakis. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Nouchakis' if Georgios Nouchakis advances against Thomas Kostka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Kostka and Georgios Nouchakis in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Kostka' if Thomas Kostka advances against Georgios Nouchakis. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Nouchakis' if Georgios Nouchakis advances against Thomas Kostka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, allows traders to collectively express their beliefs about the outcome, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds closer to the event, prediction markets can sometimes offer a more refined assessment, especially as they incorporate information from a wider range of sources and perspectives. It’s a fascinating comparison of different forecasting approaches.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Thomas Kostka and Georgios Nouchakis. The platform will rely on established tennis data sources to determine the winner, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.

Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in prior matches for either Kostka or Nouchakis would also likely cause movement. Even broader factors, such as weather forecasts for Heraklion, could play a role, especially if they affect the playing surface. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the match has the potential to move this market before it resolves.