TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Kostka and Georgios Nouchakis in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Kostka' if Thomas Kostka advances against Georgios Nouchakis. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Nouchakis' if Georgios Nouchakis advances against Thomas Kostka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Kostka and Georgios Nouchakis in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Kostka' if Thomas Kostka advances against Georgios Nouchakis. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Nouchakis' if Georgios Nouchakis advances against Thomas Kostka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Thomas Kostka and Georgios Nouchakis. The platform will rely on established tennis data sources to determine the winner, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in prior matches for either Kostka or Nouchakis would also likely cause movement. Even broader factors, such as weather forecasts for Heraklion, could play a role, especially if they affect the playing surface. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the match has the potential to move this market before it resolves.