TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Drayton and Tim Vaisman in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Drayton' if Thomas Drayton advances against Tim Vaisman. This market will resolve to 'Tim Vaisman' if Tim Vaisman advances against Thomas Drayton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Drayton and Tim Vaisman in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Drayton' if Thomas Drayton advances against Tim Vaisman. This market will resolve to 'Tim Vaisman' if Tim Vaisman advances against Thomas Drayton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the outcome of the Drayton vs Vaisman match. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market's expectation, and traders can profit if their predictions prove more accurate than the crowd's. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Thomas Drayton versus Tim Vaisman match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on their holdings in the corresponding contract. The outcome is determined by the official result of the match, not by any subjective assessment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also cause a reassessment of their chances. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations. Publicly released analysis from tennis experts or changes in betting odds at sportsbooks could also impact the market, as traders incorporate new information into their predictions. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price movements.