TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Drayton and Jose Dominguez Alonso in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Drayton' if Thomas Drayton advances against Jose Dominguez Alonso. This market will resolve to 'Jose Dominguez Alonso' if Jose Dominguez Alonso advances against Thomas Drayton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Drayton and Jose Dominguez Alonso in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Drayton' if Thomas Drayton advances against Jose Dominguez Alonso. This market will resolve to 'Jose Dominguez Alonso' if Jose Dominguez Alonso advances against Thomas Drayton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Drayton vs Dominguez Alonso match, and the price of each share reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined by supply and demand – if more traders believe Thomas Drayton will win, the price of shares representing his victory will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Thomas Drayton versus Jose Dominguez Alonso match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also lead to adjustments in the odds. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price changes in this market.